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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

CRAWLEY TOWN vs. CARLISLE UNITED
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Crawley Town vs. Carlisle United.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Crawley Town
(ELO score: 3531)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Carlisle United
(ELO score: 3471)
TOTAL 1 2 3
Home 0 1 2
Away 1 1 1

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
26 DEC 2020 LGE Carlisle United  
(3531)  
3 - 3   Bolton Wanderers
  (3471)
2.8
26 AUG 2006 LGE Notts County  
(3471)  
0 - 0   Peterborough United
  (3531)
0.2
19 FEB 1994 LGE Chesterfield  
(3471)  
1 - 2   Chester City
  (3531)
10.3
1 NOV 1980 LGE Doncaster Rovers  
(3471)  
2 - 1   Wimbledon
  (3531)
8.9
27 DEC 1954 LGE Newport County  
(3531)  
0 - 1   Crystal Palace
  (3471)
14.4
4 FEB 1950 LGE Tranmere Rovers  
(3531)  
0 - 1   Accrington Stanley
  (3471)
14.2

 

A historical comparison of Crawley Town's and Carlisle United's ELO scores.


  Crawley Town   Carlisle United  
  Current ELO Score: 3530.7   3471.1  
  Best ELO Score: 3693.2  
Saturday, October 19, 2013  
3907.2  
Saturday, August 24, 1974  
  Worst ELO Score: 3307.2  
Saturday, March 4, 2006  
3293.8  
Saturday, December 13, 2003  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Crawley Town and Carlisle United.

 Venue Played Crawley Town
wins
Draws Carlisle United
wins
Crawley Town
goals
Carlisle United
goals
Crawley Town
SR%
Carlisle United
SR%
 TOTAL 22 3 7 12 22 38 29.5% 70.5%
 HOME 11 2 4 5 11 18 36.4% 63.6%
 AWAY 11 1 3 7 11 20 22.7% 77.3%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
25 FEB 2023 LGE Crawley Town  
(3416)  
2 - 5   Carlisle United
  (3535)
13.5
30 JUL 2022 LGE Carlisle United  
(3434)  
1 - 0   Crawley Town
  (3463)
9.8
15 JAN 2022 LGE Carlisle United  
(3454)  
1 - 1   Crawley Town
  (3480)
0.4
11 SEP 2021 LGE Crawley Town  
(3454)  
2 - 1   Carlisle United
  (3509)
10.5
30 MAR 2021 LGE Carlisle United  
(3457)  
2 - 0   Crawley Town
  (3502)
15.3
21 NOV 2020 LGE Crawley Town  
(3533)  
0 - 3   Carlisle United
  (3493)
21.4
15 FEB 2020 LGE Crawley Town  
(3491)  
0 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3471)
1.7
3 AUG 2019 LGE Carlisle United  
(3508)  
2 - 1   Crawley Town
  (3436)
6.9
27 APR 2019 LGE Carlisle United  
(3501)  
4 - 2   Crawley Town
  (3427)
10.2
22 DEC 2018 LGE Crawley Town  
(3435)  
2 - 3   Carlisle United
  (3522)
8.7
17 MAR 2018 LGE Carlisle United  
(3549)  
2 - 2   Crawley Town
  (3489)
2.8
30 SEP 2017 LGE Crawley Town  
(3407)  
0 - 1   Carlisle United
  (3484)
8.9
22 APR 2017 LGE Crawley Town  
(3404)  
3 - 3   Carlisle United
  (3482)
1.2
29 OCT 2016 LGE Carlisle United  
(3603)  
3 - 1   Crawley Town
  (3435)
7.1
23 APR 2016 LGE Crawley Town  
(3431)  
0 - 1   Carlisle United
  (3515)
8.7
28 NOV 2015 LGE Carlisle United  
(3523)  
3 - 1   Crawley Town
  (3523)
13.3
29 APR 2014 LGE Crawley Town  
(3628)  
0 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3545)
3.4
16 NOV 2013 LGE Carlisle United  
(3572)  
1 - 1   Crawley Town
  (3629)
0.5
5 MAR 2013 LGE Crawley Town  
(3642)  
1 - 1   Carlisle United
  (3578)
3
29 SEP 2012 LGE Carlisle United  
(3664)  
0 - 2   Crawley Town
  (3623)
18.6
8 JAN 2005 CONF Crawley Town  
(3404)  
1 - 0   Carlisle United
  (3501)
11
2 OCT 2004 CONF Carlisle United  
(3482)  
1 - 0   Crawley Town
  (3415)
6.5